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Dry conditions continue to impact western Canadian wheat

July 11, 2023  By Top Crop Manager


Winter and spring wheat conditions in Canada are currently mixed thanks to expanding drought across the western Prairies, according to the most recent Wheat Market Outlook from the Saskatchewan Wheat Development Commission.

In its latest crop assessment, the Saskatchewan Ministry of Agriculture reduced its spring wheat crop ratings by 11 per cent from June 26 to 70 per cent Gd/Exc. Alberta Agriculture and Irrigation did not publish updated crop ratings. There has been a steady decline in soil moisture over the week. In Saskatchewan, cropland moisture rated as having “adequate” soil moisture fell by 11 per cent from last week to 42 per cent.

Courtesy of SaskWheat.

Canadian wheat exports remain strong, with another 396.4k mt of wheat being exported in week 48. Total wheat exports are now 18.2 million mt. With just four weeks remaining in the marketing year, exports needed to average 358k mt per week to meet Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada’s 19.6 million mt estimate. Producers continue to deliver wheat into the elevator system rapidly, with another 455.5k mt of wheat being delivered over the week. Visible supplies were down only slightly from last week at 2.1 million mt.

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The Canadian durum-producing regions also continue to suffer under dry conditions. Soil moisture maps in Alberta’s south and Saskatchewan’s southwest showed dry conditions expanding. In its latest crop assessment, Saskatchewan Agriculture reduced its durum wheat crop ratings by a significant 30 per cent from June 12 to 42 per cent Gd/Ex June 26. Last year, Alberta’s durum crop was 64 per cent Gd/Ex and Saskatchewan’s crop was 58 per cent Gd/Ex (as of July 11).

Courtesy of SaskWheat.

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